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19 May 2026 | Sportsbetting

Conference League Spieltagsprognose 2025/26: Finale

Crystal Palace vs. Rayo Vallecano im UEFA-Conference-League-Finale in Leipzig. Aktuelle Form, Hintergründe und unser Tipp zum Endspiel 2025/26.

approx. 3 min.
Conference League Spieltagsprognose 2025/26: Finale

The final of the UEFA Conference League presents a clash in our matchday prediction between two clubs appearing in a European final for the very first time. Crystal Palace face Rayo Vallecano: the Eagles from south London against the working-class club from Madrid. Both teams have progressed confidently through the competition this season and have repeatedly made headlines along the way. Crystal Palace are the favourites, but Rayo have already shown several times in this Conference League campaign that they should not be underestimated. Our matchday prediction takes a closer look at both teams’ starting positions and offers an assessment of the final in Leipzig.

MERKUR Quick Tip for the UEFA Conference League Final 2026

Crystal Palace vs Rayo Vallecano

Palace are preparing for the biggest match in the club’s history and have the most dangerous striker in the entire competition in their ranks with Ismaïla Sarr. Nine goals, five consecutive strikes in the knockout stage: the Senegalese forward is in sensational form. Coach Oliver Glasner is also highly familiar with major finals: he won the Europa League with Eintracht Frankfurt in 2022, followed by the FA Cup with Palace in 2025. Rayo are compact, strong in challenges and ruthless when punishing opponents. The Madrid neighbourhood club have already knocked stronger teams out of the competition this season, while coach Iñigo Pérez has repeatedly set his side up intelligently from a tactical perspective. However, against the individual quality of the Eagles, that is unlikely to be enough in the end.

Tip: 1

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MERKUR UEFA Conference League Matchday Prediction: The Final in Detail

The final will take place on Wednesday, 27 May 2026, at 21:00 in the Red Bull Arena in Leipzig. The stadium of Bundesliga club RB Leipzig holds around 47,000 spectators and has already hosted major tournaments such as the 2006 World Cup and UEFA EURO 2024. There has never previously been a direct meeting between these two clubs.
Crystal Palace battled their way through the knockout stage against Mainz, Fiorentina and most recently Shakhtar Donetsk to reach the final. Time and again, it was Ismaïla Sarr who made the difference. He scored in the 3–1 first-leg win against Shakhtar and netted the decisive 2–1 goal in the return leg. In the club’s 121-year history, Crystal Palace are therefore appearing in European competition for the very first time.
Rayo Vallecano, meanwhile, gave Racing Strasbourg little chance in the semi-finals. After a 1–0 win in the first leg, another 1–0 victory in the return match was enough to secure progression. Alemão fired his side deservedly into the Leipzig final with his two goals. Rayo therefore become the first Madrid neighbourhood club ever to reach a European final.
The final now brings together two clubs that have fully earned their place on this stage. Palace have an absolute cup specialist on the touchline in coach Glasner. For him, lifting the trophy would provide the perfect farewell, as he will leave Palace in the summer. On the other side stands Rayo coach Iñigo Pérez, who is only 38 years old and has delivered immediate success in his first professional managerial role. It is he who has guided his club to the final through pure tactical discipline and composure.

Prediction: Crystal Palace possess greater individual quality and have one of the competition’s best forwards in Sarr. Rayo will put up a fight, and if they were to win the title, it would be nothing short of a sensation. However, we are backing the more experienced Crystal Palace.

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