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Franzi | Games
Franzi | Games 
17 Dec 2025 | Sportsbetting
Bundesliga Matchday Forecast – Matchday 15, 2025/26
All predictions for Bundesliga matchday 15 of the 2025/26 season. From BVB vs Gladbach to Leipzig vs Bayer 04. Current form, statistics and tips at a glance.
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Bundesliga Matchday Forecast – Matchday 15, 2025/26
The 15th Bundesliga matchday is all about closing out the year. Before the league heads into the winter break and the Christmas period, all teams have one final opportunity to give everything on the pitch. Points just before the break can be hugely important – especially in the battle for European qualification or at the bottom of the table. The spotlight is particularly on the top clashes between RB Leipzig and Bayer Leverkusen as well as HSV against Eintracht Frankfurt, which promise plenty of excitement to round off the football year. One more 90 minutes, one more display of full intensity – then the Bundesliga bids farewell and heads into the winter break.
MERKUR Quick Tips for Bundesliga Matchday 15
BVB vs Gladbach
Borussia Dortmund have recently shown that the team remains competitive despite setbacks. In Freiburg, BVB delivered a strong first half and clearly set the tone, but lost control of the match after the red card. The fact that Dortmund still managed to rescue a point while down a man underlines the team’s morale under Kovac. Gladbach travel with a young and in parts very inexperienced squad. While the Foals have enjoyed spells of good results this season, they continue to reveal weaknesses in game control.
Tip: 1
Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim
VfB Stuttgart sent out a strong signal of intent with a clear win in Bremen, rebuilding confidence after difficult weeks. In particular, Sebastian Hoeneß’s side looked purposeful in attack and far more stable than in recent outings. Hoffenheim, however, also arrive in Stuttgart full of confidence. TSG have recently impressed with their attractive football, dominated HSV for long spells and are always capable of scoring multiple goals going forward.
Tip: Draw
Wolfsburg vs Freiburg
Wolfsburg have clearly gained stability of late and look far more solid following the change of coach. The processes are working better and their transition play is functioning again. Freiburg recently showed resilience against BVB, demonstrated strong mentality and remain a difficult, well-organised side that can take something even from challenging match scenarios.
Tip: Draw
Augsburg vs Bremen
Augsburg recently showed encouraging signs but were unlucky against Frankfurt, having two goals disallowed. Under interim coach Baum, FCA are nevertheless competitive again in the league. Bremen started well against Stuttgart but failed to convert their chances and collapsed noticeably after conceding. Lack of efficiency remains an issue, and away from home they are currently missing the determination to win every single ball.
Tip: 2 + under 3.5 goals
Cologne vs Union Berlin
Union’s win against Leipzig was an impressive statement – defensively compact and finally clinical in attack again. The Köpenick side currently feel comfortable playing from a solid structure. Cologne, by contrast, continue to struggle, particularly going forward, where aside from Waldschmidt they lack penetration. Performances are committed but too rarely threatening, which is reflected in the results.
Tip: 2
HSV vs Frankfurt
HSV have shown promising signs at home recently but continue to struggle badly away from home – the clear 4–1 defeat in Hoffenheim once again exposed weaknesses in the current squad. Frankfurt managed to secure another win against Augsburg, but looked sluggish in possession for long periods and also needed a slice of luck. We can expect a tight contest, with a slight tendency towards a point for Eintracht.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
Leipzig vs Leverkusen
RB Leipzig head into this top clash under some pressure following their defeat at Union. Despite dominating possession, RB showed unusual problems in the final third. At home, Leipzig will want to be more proactive and courageous again. Leverkusen appeared mature and patient in the derby against Cologne. Even without Schick and Grimaldo, Werkself controlled the game, focused on possession and struck ruthlessly with individual quality from the bench. Fine margins could decide this top-level duel.
Tip: 2
Mainz vs St. Pauli
Mainz showed great spirit in the 2–2 draw in Munich, proving that despite sitting 18th, the team have become noticeably more stable of late. Under Urs Fischer, the defence is more compact, while young players such as Potulski bring energy and bravery. Especially at home, FSV will be keen to confirm this upward trend.
St. Pauli sent an important signal in the relegation battle with their win against Heidenheim. The Kiezkicker are combative, but remain limited in possession and vulnerable once put under pressure.
Tip: 1
Heidenheim vs Bayern
Heidenheim recently suffered a bitter defeat against St. Pauli and remain deeply involved in the relegation battle. While Frank Schmidt’s team regularly show commitment and fighting spirit, decisive defensive weaknesses continue to surface. Bayern surprisingly dropped points in the 2–2 draw against Mainz, but remain clearly superior and dominant in terms of play. The Munich side will be keen to make amends and are likely to be more clinical in front of goal this time.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
MERKUR Bundesliga Matchday Forecast: Highlights of Matchday 15
Hamburger SV head into their final home game of the year with mixed feelings. While the promoted side have recently shown courage and commitment, the away defeat in Hoffenheim (4–1) once again highlighted the defensive weaknesses of the northern Germans. In particular, the lack of structure against strong attacking opponents and individual marking errors cost HSV control of the game early on. At home, however, Hamburg are far more stable, playing with high intensity, plenty of running and strong support from the crowd – factors that can play a decisive role at the end of the year.
Eintracht Frankfurt, by contrast, travel with renewed confidence. After a short negative run, they secured an important 1–0 win against Augsburg, which may have been fortunate but delivered much-needed points and stability. Frankfurt have often played in a controlled manner without sparkling creatively, but have looked more compact defensively and more efficient. Players such as Doan or Uzun can always make the difference with individual moments, even if the attack does not always appear consistently dangerous.
Prediction: Overall, the visitors’ superior individual quality speaks in their favour, but HSV’s home strength and the special nature of the final matchday before the winter break could keep the game open for a long time.
The standout fixture of matchday 15 sees two teams facing each other who want to make a real statement before the winter break. RB Leipzig are under pressure: the 3–1 defeat at Union Berlin highlighted their recent lack of ideas against deep and compact opponents. Despite high possession figures and overall dominance, Leipzig were often too harmless going forward and were punished by a small number of efficient counter-attacks.
Leverkusen, meanwhile, arrive with momentum from the derby against Cologne. The 2–0 victory was deserved, even if it took time to materialise. Bayer 04 looked controlled, dominant and defensively solid – qualities that have defined Werkself throughout the season. Despite personnel absences, Leverkusen once again showed their ability to find solutions, whether through possession-based football or individual quality from the bench, as demonstrated by Terrier’s stunning goal.
Prediction: Everything points to an intense, tactically shaped top match in which fine details will be decisive. Leipzig have home advantage and the individual quality to cause Leverkusen problems, while Bayer 04 counter with stability, versatility and confidence. A game on equal footing can be expected.
Matchday 15 presents one of the toughest challenges of the season for 1. FC Heidenheim as they face FC Bayern. Following the 2–1 defeat against St. Pauli, Heidenheim head into this fixture under pressure. While Frank Schmidt’s side showed patience in build-up play and strong fighting spirit at times, a lack of attacking penetration was once again evident. In addition, individual mistakes and lapses in concentration made life too easy for the opposition.
The situation is very different for FC Bayern. Although the Munich side surprisingly dropped points against bottom-placed Mainz, the record champions have otherwise appeared dominant in their performances. Possession was overwhelming, chances were clearly in Bayern’s favour, and only a lack of ruthlessness in front of goal prevented victory. The fact that Bayern rarely relinquish control even on an average day underlines their status as favourites in Heidenheim as well.
Prediction: Ahead of the final matchday before the winter break, everything points towards a controlled Bayern performance. Heidenheim will fight and attempt to keep the game open for as long as possible, but over 90 minutes the individual class and game control of the record champions should prevail.
