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16 Sept 2026 | Sportsbetting

Bundesliga Matchday Predictions for 2026/27 – Matchday 4

Who will come out on top on Matchday 4 of the 2026/27 season? The Bundesliga matchday preview with predictions for all games, including coverage of the highlight matches.

approx. 3 min.
Bundesliga Matchday Predictions for 2026/27 – Matchday 4

After three matchdays, Borussia Dortmund and SC Freiburg lead the standings with nine points each, while Mönchengladbach and Hamburger SV remain at zero points after three losses. Hamburg is still waiting for its first goal of the season. Gladbach has responded to its 0-5 loss in Freiburg by hiring a new coach, Jan-Moritz Lichte. Matchday 4 kicks off on Friday with Bayern vs. Union, followed Saturday evening by the top match between Stuttgart and Dortmund. Sunday opens with Leverkusen vs. Leipzig, before Schalke vs. Elversberg and Paderborn vs. Hoffenheim round out the final matchday before the international break.

Merkur Quick Tips for Matchday 4 of the Bundesliga

With a 2-1 win in Elversberg, Bayern secured the must-win victory they needed following their disappointing draw against Schalke. With seven points from three games, the team has firmly established itself in the top third of the standings. After their 1-3 loss to Schalke, Union has just one point from three games and continues to look unsettled. The difference in class is likely to be clearly evident at Säbener Straße.

Prediction: 1

Following the 0-5 loss in Freiburg and three losses in three games, Gladbach has responded by hiring Jan-Moritz Lichte as its new coach. Only HSV shares Gladbach’s zero-point total. Mainz, after a great start to the season, recently lost 1-3 to Frankfurt but is still off to a good start overall with four points. There is therefore little to suggest that the coaching change will bring immediate success for Gladbach.

Prediction: 2

After their 1-4 loss to Augsburg, Frankfurt bounced back with a 3-1 win over Mainz. However, the defense remains a problem area. Conceding seven goals in the first two games is anything but top-tier. Freiburg is the only team besides Dortmund that remains undefeated and recently made another strong statement with a 5-0 win over Gladbach. Their perfect record and current form point to an exciting, high-scoring match.

Prediction: X

After three games, HSV still has neither points nor a goal to its name; most recently, it suffered two 0-5 losses. So far, nothing has clicked on either offense or defense. Cologne has four points after three matchdays and is likely to arrive with a bit more confidence. Playing at home and under pressure, HSV should at least show more courage on offense. However, it will likely be a close call to get more than one point.

Prediction: X

With its 3-1 win over Leipzig on Matchday 2, Bremen has already shown that it can achieve more against top-tier opponents. For a team with no European ambitions, four points from three games is a solid start. With seven points from three games, Augsburg is the third-best team in the league alongside Dortmund and Freiburg, and didn’t drop its first point until Matchday 3 against Leverkusen (2–2). The team in better form hails from Swabia.

Prediction: X

Stuttgart dropped points again in their recent 1-2 loss at Hoffenheim and continues to fall short of expectations for a team competing in the Champions League. Three points from three games are clearly not enough given their own ambitions. Dortmund has gotten off to a flawless start to the season with three wins in three games and has already shown, in their comeback victory at Hoffenheim, that the team has the right mindset. The forward duo of Guirassy and Silva finally seems to be clicking. That’s exactly what makes BVB the clear favorite right now.

Prediction: 2

Following their 4-0 win over Union, Leverkusen dropped points for the second time this season with a 2-2 draw in Augsburg and continues to look vulnerable on defense. Consistency has been the Werkself’s biggest area of concern so far. Leipzig bounced back from their loss in Bremen with a decisive 5-0 victory over a Hamburg SV side that has yet to get a win this season. The Saxons’ fresh momentum should make the difference here by a narrow margin.

Prediction: 2

Schalke secured its first win of the season with a 3-1 victory in Berlin and heads into the home game with renewed confidence. Prior to that, the team had recorded a sensational draw against Bayern and suffered a loss. Elversberg suffered its first loss of the season in a 1-2 defeat to Bayern, but continued to play boldly and aggressively on the attack. Schalke, on the other hand, tends to adopt a more cautious approach and looks to capitalize on counterattacks, which is why the two styles of play could cancel each other out.

Prediction: X

After three games, Paderborn is still waiting for its first goal of the season and recently suffered its worst loss of the season in a 0-3 defeat to Dortmund. Hoffenheim finally secured its first win of the season with a 2-1 victory over Stuttgart, after narrowly losing its first two games. Striker Adam Hlozek, in particular, who scored twice in the win against Stuttgart, is currently in fine goal-scoring form. The momentum is therefore clearly on the side of the visitors from Sinsheim.

Prediction: 2

Merkur Bundesliga Matchday Preview: The Highlights of Matchday 4

Frankfurt bounced back from its 1-4 thrashing against Augsburg with a convincing 3-1 win over Mainz. To achieve this, Adi Hütter switched to a back three with a lone striker and focused on quick transitions: Can Uzun scored twice, Jonathan Burkardt added another goal shortly before halftime following a defensive error by Mainz, and goalkeeper Noah Atubolu also stopped a penalty kick by Nadiem Amiri. Substitute Mario Götze also made his mark with an assist.

Freiburg, on the other hand, has been performing consistently since the start of the season. In the 5-0 win over Gladbach, Yannik Engelhardt and Igor Matanovic each scored twice, before Maximilian Eggestein sealed the victory late in the game, aided by a red card shown to Gladbach captain Tim Kleindienst just shy of the one-hour mark. Thanks to a better goal differential, the Sport-Club now sits atop the standings ahead of Dortmund for the first time this season.

Prediction: The visitors’ perfect record and the intensity of their recent performances suggest they have the edge. However, with Uzun, Frankfurt has enough offensive firepower of its own to hold its own. A close game with goals on both sides seems likely.

After a convincing 4-1 victory over Cologne, Stuttgart showed yet another side of itself in the 1-2 loss at Hoffenheim. Maximilian Mittelstädt tied the game off an assist from Chris Führich, but Adam Hlozek then restored TSG’s lead with his second goal of the evening. Against an opponent that capitalized more consistently on key opportunities, Stuttgart’s performance ultimately wasn’t enough. Stuttgart has shown two very different sides so far this season: from the 1-5 thrashing by Bayern in the season opener to the convincing win against Cologne.

Dortmund benefited greatly from its bench in the 3-0 win over Paderborn: Felix Nmecha scored two spectacular long-range goals after coming off the bench, providing the highlights of the team’s third win of the season. The individual quality across the depth of the roster is thus one of BVB’s major strengths in this early stage of the season. With nine points from three games, BVB is also the only team in the league—along with Freiburg—that has yet to drop a point.

Prediction: Dortmund is coming into the game on a better run of form and with a roster that can decide games even from the bench. Stuttgart will need to be more focused defensively at home than in recent matches, but is likely to come up short against Dortmund’s current strength.

Leverkusen threw away the win in Augsburg. After falling behind 2-1 due to a brace by Michael Gregoritsch, the Werkself stepped up their game once more but could only manage a late equalizer by Patrik Schick, ultimately taking home one point. The team’s performance thus remains a mixed bag: strong in terms of play, but still prone to errors in the back line. Following the season-opening loss to promoted Elversberg and the decisive 4-0 win over Union, this is already the second game this season in which the team has failed to hold onto a lead until the final whistle.

Following their loss in Bremen, Leipzig sent the clearest message of the entire matchday with a 5-0 victory over Hamburger SV. After a tight opening phase, Tidiam Gomis and Antonio Nusa scored before halftime, and the Saxons pulled away for good between the 72nd and 77th minutes with three more goals from Willi Orbán, Christopher Nkunku, and Rômulo. Coach Demichelis had made five changes to his starting lineup for this match; among other things, Neil El Aynaoui came into the team as the sole defensive midfielder and impressed with a strong passing percentage.

Prediction: Leipzig heads to Leverkusen with greater confidence and more versatility in its lineup. Given the Werkself’s vulnerable back line, this game is also likely to be high-scoring, with a slight edge for the visitors.

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