01 
Franzi | Games
Franzi | Games 
20 Jan 2026 | Sportsbetting
Bundesliga Matchday Forecast – Matchday 19, 2025/26
All predictions for Bundesliga matchday 19 of the 2025/26 season. From St. Pauli vs Hamburg SV to Bayern vs Augsburg. Current form and tips at a glance
approx. 3 min.
Bundesliga Matchday Forecast – Matchday 19, 2025/26
Matchday 19 of the Bundesliga is defined by emotion, key decisions and high-stakes encounters. Several teams are already under pressure after turbulent starts to the second half of the season, while others are eager to confirm their positive momentum and continue climbing the table. The Hamburg city derby in particular promises plenty of drama, as points are more valuable than ever for both clubs at this stage of the campaign. Whether in the relegation battle or the race for Europe, this matchday is about more than just results – it is also about confidence and momentum.
MERKUR Quick Tips for Bundesliga Matchday 19
St. Pauli vs Hamburg SV
St. Pauli showed great fighting spirit in Dortmund by coming back from a 2–0 deficit, but still ended up empty-handed. The Kiezkicker kept the match open for a long time, clawed their way back mainly through set pieces and were very close to earning a point deep into stoppage time. Hamburg SV, meanwhile, travel with mixed feelings. Against Gladbach, the visitors dominated large parts of the game but squandered chance after chance and repeatedly failed to beat an outstanding goalkeeper Nicolas. In the end, a goalless draw felt more like a missed opportunity.
Tip: Draw
Bayern vs Augsburg
FC Bayern demonstrated against Leipzig just how quickly a game can turn. After a poor first half and falling behind, the introduction of Olise in particular changed the match completely. The record champions eventually ran out 5–1 winners, underlining their individual quality. Augsburg, meanwhile, came out strongly after the break against Freiburg, scoring twice, but then lost control at set pieces and conceded two goals in quick succession. The 2–2 draw ultimately felt more like a defeat for FCA.
Tip: 1 + over 3.5 goals
Leverkusen vs Bremen
Leverkusen recently suffered a setback with a 1–0 defeat in Hoffenheim, struggling to find solutions against TSG’s passionate defensive display. Despite controlling possession, Werkself lacked cutting edge for long periods. Bremen, on the other hand, experienced a chaotic start to the second half of the season. After conceding early, Werder showed character, turned the game around temporarily and only conceded the 3–3 equaliser with the very last action. In Leverkusen, individual quality now meets Bremen’s unpredictability.
Tip: 1
Frankfurt vs Hoffenheim
Following the turbulent 3–3 draw in Bremen, Frankfurt face a turning point. Eintracht subsequently parted ways with head coach Dino Toppmöller. The late equaliser could not disguise the fact that performances had stagnated and defensive issues persisted. Hoffenheim, by contrast, travel to Frankfurt full of confidence. The TSG have taken an impressive ten points from their last four matches and have looked stable and composed in recent weeks. The signs therefore point clearly towards confident visitors, while Frankfurt must regroup.
Tip: 2
Mainz vs Wolfsburg
Mainz suffered a bitter setback in Cologne, throwing away a deserved lead after a solid first half. After the break, FSV lost their grip on the game and posed little attacking threat. Wolfsburg showed resilience against Heidenheim, salvaging a late 1–1 draw. Although the Wolves struggled to penetrate the final third for much of the match, they threw everything forward in the closing stages. This clash between two struggling sides pits Mainz’s leadership issues against Wolfsburg’s comeback mentality.
Tip: 2
Heidenheim vs Leipzig
Heidenheim were close to claiming an important away win in Wolfsburg but had to settle for a 1–1 draw in the end. FCH defended compactly, allowed very little and failed to take their chances to decide the game. Leipzig endured a painful evening against Bayern. Despite a strong first half and taking the lead, RB missed too many chances and completely collapsed after conceding the equaliser. The 5–1 defeat was perhaps harsh, but it highlighted how ruthlessly mistakes are punished at this level.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
Union Berlin vs Dortmund
Union once again proved to be awkward opponents in Stuttgart, rescuing a point late on. As in matches against Mainz and Augsburg, the Iron Ones fought back from behind and were rewarded with a late equaliser from substitute Jeong. Dortmund, meanwhile, experienced a rollercoaster ride against St. Pauli. After going 2–0 up, BVB wobbled from set pieces and only secured victory deep into stoppage time via a penalty. The win was fortunate in the end but also showed mental strength. Against Union, however, a clear improvement will be required.
Tip: 2 + under 3.5 goals
Gladbach vs Stuttgart
Gladbach earned a fortunate 0–0 draw against Hamburg, relying heavily on an excellent goalkeeper. Borussia were put under pressure early and consistently, defending deep and offering little relief in attack. Stuttgart, meanwhile, experienced a sense of déjà vu against Union. Despite leading and enjoying the better footballing moments, VfB once again failed to secure victory after losing control in the closing stages. The 1–1 draw reflected a match in which Stuttgart failed to take their chances.
Tip: 2
Freiburg vs Cologne
Freiburg struggled to find their rhythm in Augsburg after a sluggish start but showed character after conceding twice, responding impressively through set pieces. The 2–2 draw reflected a game in which the Sport-Club looked short of ideas for long periods but fought back after the break and even pushed for a winner. Cologne travel south with renewed confidence. Against Mainz, the Billy Goats ended their winless run, turning the game around after half-time and benefiting from impact substitute Ache. The victory was hard-earned and clearly released fresh energy.
Tip: Draw
MERKUR Bundesliga Matchday Forecast: Highlights of Matchday 19
St. Pauli showed in Dortmund why this team should never be written off. After falling 2–0 behind, the Kiezkicker fought their way back into the game through strong set pieces and were within touching distance of a point deep into stoppage time. Especially after the interval, the team played bravely, posed a threat on the counter and unsettled the favourites on several occasions. In the end, a late penalty decided the match against St. Pauli – bitter, but the performance should still provide confidence.
Hamburg SV head to the Millerntor with a sense of frustration. Against Gladbach, the visitors dominated the first half in particular, creating chance after chance but repeatedly failing to beat the impressive goalkeeper Nicolas. The goalless draw felt more like two points dropped. In addition, the first-leg defeat will be fresh in their minds, as HSV will be determined to make amends in the city derby.
Prediction: Both teams will approach this encounter highly motivated, as so often in this fixture it is not just about points, but also about pride. Neither side wants to lose such a prestigious derby, with emotions and significance running high. All the ingredients are therefore in place for an intense and fiery city clash.
FC Bayern once again demonstrated their class against Leipzig, even if the path to victory was anything but straightforward. After a weak first half and conceding the opener, the record champions adjusted after the break and turned the game around with authority. The introduction of Olise in particular transformed the match, as Bayern increased the tempo and ruthlessly punished Leipzig’s missed opportunities. The emphatic 5–1 scoreline underlined the individual quality of the Munich side.
Augsburg recently experienced a game of two halves against Freiburg. After a poor first half, FCA struck twice immediately after the interval and appeared to be in control. However, defensive lapses at set pieces allowed Freiburg back into the match, leaving Augsburg with only a 2–2 draw in the end. Despite the disappointment, the performance showed that with discipline and efficiency, Augsburg can trouble technically strong opponents.
Prediction: In Munich, the roles are clearly defined, but Augsburg will try to make life difficult for the favourites. Bayern, in turn, will aim to apply early pressure and consistently exploit their quality. If the hosts manage to seize control quickly, it could be a long afternoon for FCA.
Frankfurt experienced a memorable start to the second half of the season in Bremen. In a chaotic match, Eintracht snatched a 3–3 draw with the very last kick, having fallen behind several times. Attacking quality shone through in flashes, but defensively the team once again revealed its vulnerability. The late equaliser could not conceal the growing tension, and the club subsequently pulled the trigger by parting ways with head coach Dino Toppmöller. Frankfurt therefore head into this match amid noticeable unrest.
The mood could hardly be more different in Hoffenheim. TSG recently made a statement by defeating Leverkusen 1–0 in a direct clash for the European places. An early goal proved enough, as Hoffenheim defended passionately thereafter and allowed very little at the back. The win was no fluke, but part of an impressive run of form: ten points from the last four matches underline how stable, disciplined and efficient the Kraichgau side have been.
Prediction: Two very different situations collide in Frankfurt. Eintracht must regroup and find stability after the coaching change, while Hoffenheim arrive full of confidence. The match promises intrigue, not least in seeing whether Frankfurt can channel the unrest into energy or whether the in-form TSG continue their impressive run.
