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4 Jun 2026 | Sportsbetting

World Cup 2026 Matchday Predictions – Matchday 1

Who will win the opening matches of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Discover the most exciting fixtures at a glance and read MERKUR BETS' Matchday 1 predictions and betting tips now!

approx. 5 min.
World Cup 2026 Matchday Predictions – Matchday 1

The opening matchday of the 2026 World Cup in the United States, Canada, and Mexico delivers several blockbuster clashes right from the start, running from June 11 to June 18, 2026. Host nation Mexico kicks off the tournament at the legendary Azteca Stadium, while Brazil takes on Morocco. Argentina faces Algeria, and Germany begins its World Cup campaign in Houston. With 48 teams, 12 groups, and an entire continent serving as the stage, the tournament promises plenty of excitement. We have analyzed the key matches of the opening round and provide our best World Cup betting tips for Matchday 1.

World Cup Matchday 1 Tips: Quick Predictions at a Glance

The opening match of the 2026 World Cup belongs to one of the host nations: Mexico welcomes South Africa to the Azteca Stadium in front of more than 83,000 fans. The home side enjoys a significant advantage and is eager to make a statement after its group-stage exit in 2022. Head coach Javier Aguirre relies on a compact 4-4-2 formation combined with aggressive pressing. South Africa qualified unexpectedly and may struggle to impose itself against the hosts.

Prediction: 1

Canada celebrates the first home World Cup match in its history. Following its appearance at the 2022 World Cup in Qatar, the team led by Bayern Munich star Alphonso Davies has gained valuable experience. The atmosphere in Toronto is expected to be electric. Bosnia and Herzegovina still boasts a proven goalscorer in Edin Džeko, but the 40-year-old is no longer at the peak of his powers. Canada enters this match as the favorite, especially with the backing of a passionate home crowd.

Prediction: 1

The United States begins its World Cup journey in front of home supporters and under considerable expectations. Head coach Mauricio Pochettino has built a side with a clear identity: physical, fast, and direct. Paraguay is difficult to break down and defensively disciplined but lacks attacking firepower. The home atmosphere and overall squad quality should be enough to secure a U.S. victory.

Prediction: 1

One of the most intriguing fixtures of the opening round. Japan has impressed at the last two World Cups and is widely regarded as Asia’s most tactically sophisticated team. Coach Hajime Moriyasu favors high-intensity pressing and rapid transitions. However, the Netherlands, led by Virgil van Dijk and Cody Gakpo, possesses greater depth and individual quality. A close encounter is expected, but the Oranje should have enough to edge it.

Prediction: 1

The first major showdown of the tournament sees Brazil face the surprise semifinalists from the 2022 World Cup. The Seleção, featuring stars such as Vinicius Jr. and Rodrygo, is under pressure to deliver after recent tournament disappointments. Morocco, under coach Walid Regragui, remains defensively solid and highly dangerous on the counterattack. A tightly contested match is expected, with fine margins likely to decide the outcome.

Prediction: 1

Germany’s opening match of the 2026 World Cup appears straightforward on paper. Curaçao is making its World Cup debut and is the smallest nation in the tournament. Against Julian Nagelsmann’s side, featuring Florian Wirtz, Jamal Musiala, and Kai Havertz, earning points will be a huge challenge. Germany is the overwhelming favorite and will look for a convincing win to build momentum.

Prediction: 1

Belgium’s golden generation is approaching the twilight of its era. Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, and their teammates are no longer at their peak, but coach Rudi Garcia still has an experienced squad at his disposal. Egypt, meanwhile, is far from an easy opponent. Liverpool star Mohamed Salah remains one of the most dangerous attacking players in world football. Belgium may be favored, but Egypt has every chance of causing problems.

Prediction: Draw (X)

This could prove to be the decisive match in Group E, with both sides likely competing for second place behind Germany. Ivory Coast is one of Africa’s strongest teams but has never progressed beyond the group stage at a World Cup. Ecuador boasts one of South America’s most impressive defenses, conceding just five goals in 18 qualifying matches. With players such as Moisés Caicedo, Willian Pacho, and Piero Hincapié, Ecuador possesses a back line of genuine international quality.

Prediction: Ecuador to Win (2)

One of the standout fixtures involving an African nation. France is widely regarded as one of the favorites to lift the World Cup trophy. Senegal, however, reached the Africa Cup of Nations final and features an exciting new generation of attacking talent. Led by captain Sadio Mané, the Lions of Teranga will be eager to spring an upset. France remains the favorite, but this promises to be a competitive encounter.

Prediction: France to Win (1)

One of the standout fixtures involving an African nation. France is widely regarded as one of the favorites to lift the World Cup trophy. Senegal, however, reached the Africa Cup of Nations final and features an exciting new generation of attacking talent. Led by captain Sadio Mané, the Lions of Teranga will be eager to spring an upset. France remains the favorite, but this promises to be a competitive encounter.

Prediction: France to Win (1)

England and Croatia have shared several memorable encounters in recent years. Croatia famously defeated the Three Lions in the 2018 World Cup semifinal, while England will be looking to reverse that trend under head coach Thomas Tuchel. Although Croatia has moved on from much of the generation led by Luka Modrić, it remains a tactically disciplined and difficult side to beat.

Prediction: Draw (X)

Defending champions Argentina, led by Lionel Messi and Lautaro Martínez, open their campaign against Algeria. The North Africans possess attacking quality through Riyad Mahrez but will find it difficult to match Argentina’s world-class talent across the pitch. Algeria is expected to defend deep and look for counterattacking opportunities. Argentina will be eager to begin its title defense with a victory.
Prediction: Argentina to Win (1)

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