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11 Nov 2026 | Sportsbetting

UEFA Nations League Matchday Predictions for 2026/27 – Matchdays 5 and 6

UEFA Nations League Matchday Predictions for Matchdays 5 and 6: Picks for nine matches in the league phase. Read about both DFB matches and all the top matchups now.

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UEFA Nations League Matchday Predictions for 2026/27 – Matchdays 5 and 6

The UEFA Nations League matchday predictions are entering the decisive phase. On Matchdays 5 and 6 of the 2026/27 league phase, several key decisions will be made. The top two teams in each group will advance to the quarterfinals in March. Teams at the bottom of the standings face the threat of relegation playoffs and relegation. After four games, Germany sits in third place and must deliver in Belgrade and Berlin. Spain and England will battle it out for first place in Madrid. Italy hosts France at San Siro. One tier below, Austria and Switzerland are vying for promotion to League A. Defending champion Portugal could clinch its group as early as Saturday. The action kicks off on Thursday, and the final matchday concludes on Tuesday.

Merkur Quick Tips and Matchday Predictions for Matchdays 5 and 6

France leads Group A1 with ten points and remains undefeated. A win at San Siro would clinch first place in the group early. Italy has seven points and is under pressure to perform. Roberto Mancini has stabilized his team following the 0-2 loss to Belgium. However, the Azzurri have lost their last three international matches in Milan. The first leg in Paris ended in a 1-1 draw.

Tip: 2

Serbia has lost all four of its group stage matches and remains at zero points. With two wins, however, the last-place team would still have six points. Germany currently has five points and therefore cannot afford any slip-ups. The DFB team won the first leg 2-0. The match will be played behind closed doors. UEFA has imposed a closed-door match on Serbia due to racist incidents.

Tip: 2

At the top of the German group, two teams tied on points will face off. Both have eight points and remain undefeated. Oranje sits in first place due to having scored more goals. In the first leg, Xavi Hernández’s team came back from a two-goal deficit to tie the game 2–2. At home, Oranje has the greater individual talent.

Tip: 1

Switzerland has won all four of its matches and conceded only one goal. Murat Yakin’s team needs just one point to win the group and advance to League A. Slovenia trails by five points and absolutely must win at home. The game was moved from Ljubljana to Maribor due to field conditions. In the first leg, the Swiss national team narrowly prevailed 2–1. Slovenia is also fighting for second place and a spot in the playoffs.

Tip: 2

Portugal has won all four of its games and can clinch first place in the group early. All it needs is a draw in Braga. Denmark has six points and lost the first leg 2–4. For the Danes, there’s far more at stake than just pride. As the second-place team in the group, they’re on track for the quarterfinals. However, Norway and Wales are lurking just three points behind. The defending champion boasts the group’s best offense, with nine goals scored.

Tip: 1

Austria leads the group with eight points and has its first chance to clinch the group title in Linz. A home win against Ireland would secure promotion to League A. However, Ralf Rangnick is facing some personnel concerns ahead of the doubleheader. Ireland earned a 2-2 draw in the first leg and is a tough opponent. For their part, the Irish are fighting for second place and a spot in the playoffs. The final group match will then take place in Debrecen against Israel.

Tip: 1

This matchup is for second place and a spot in the quarterfinals. Going into Matchday 5, Italy has seven points and Belgium has six. The Belgians pulled off a surprise 2-0 victory in the first leg in Rome. Most recently, however, Mark van Bommel’s team suffered a 1-4 loss in France. Italy is coming into the game on a better run of form. Nevertheless, a close match is expected in Brussels.

Tip: X

The world champions host the World Cup bronze medalists for the final group stage match at Madrid’s Metropolitano. Spain has won all four of its matches so far and leads England by three points. However, Thomas Tuchel’s team has won its last three matches with a combined score of 12–0. To secure first place, though, the Three Lions need a win. In the first leg at Wembley, Spain came out on top with a 3–2 victory. Regardless of the outcome, both teams are all but certain to advance to the quarterfinals.

Tip: 1

To wrap things up, the quarterfinal decider will take place in Berlin. Going into the doubleheader, Germany trails the Netherlands by three points. Jürgen Klopp is particularly concerned about the lack of goals. In four games, the DFB team has scored only three goals. On the other hand, the defense has conceded just two goals. The first leg ended in a 1-1 draw, a fair result given the teams’ performances. Greece has a chance to build on that result in its parallel match against Serbia.

Tip: 1

Mercury Nations League Matchday Predictions: The Highlights of the International Break

France has navigated this transition with remarkable success. Zinédine Zidane has been in charge since the summer and has yet to suffer a defeat in his first four competitive matches. With ten points, France sits in first place in Group A1. The 4-1 win over Belgium has been their strongest performance so far. A win at San Siro would clinch first place in the group early. After that, Zidane could rotate his lineup at will in the home game against Turkey. In the first leg in Paris, his team could only manage a 1-1 draw.

Italy has bounced back after a disappointing start. Following the 0-2 loss to Belgium, Roberto Mancini has earned seven points from three matches. Nevertheless, they still trail France by three points. Therefore, only a home win will secure first place. Ironically, the venue itself isn’t ideal for that. Italy has lost its last three international matches at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium, including a 1–3 loss to France in November 2024. A win would at least give Italy the edge in the head-to-head record.

Prediction: Two teams in top form face off on the big stage. France has the more solid defense and the better starting position. Italy lacked scoring power in its last game in Milan. We’re predicting a narrow away win for France.

The world champion has won all four of its group stage matches, scoring twelve goals in the process. Luis de la Fuente continues to rely on patient possession and immediate counter-pressing. This approach has remained virtually unchanged since the World Cup title. The 3–2 win at Wembley showed that this approach works even against top-tier teams. However, conceding five goals in four matches also reveals gaps in the defense.

England has really stepped up its game since that loss. Thomas Tuchel’s team won the next three matches with a combined score of 12–0. The 7–0 win in Croatia was the biggest victory in all of League A. Nevertheless, they remain three points behind Spain. For the Three Lions to top the group, therefore, only a win in Madrid will do. They should be assured of a spot in the quarterfinals anyway, as the second-place teams in each group also advance.

Prediction: This match pits two of the strongest teams from the group stage against each other. England is in better form, while Spain has the better record. At home, the world champions remain virtually unbeatable. In the end, Spain will pull off a narrow victory.

Things are getting serious for Jürgen Klopp in Berlin. In four matchdays as national team coach, he has earned only five points: one win, two draws, and a home loss to Greece. The offense is a particular cause for concern. Scoring just three goals in four matches is far too few for a team with Germany’s ambitions. The defense, on the other hand, has conceded only two goals. Klopp is significantly trimming his roster. He had initially called up 44 players for his debut, but that number has now been reduced to 23. Before the match in Berlin, the team also faces a game behind closed doors in Belgrade on Friday.

The Netherlands lead the group with eight points and remain undefeated. Xavi Hernández has quickly adapted the Oranje to his possession-based style of play. The first leg ended 1-1 and was a hard-fought match. For Germany, however, Monday’s result isn’t the only thing that matters. The top two teams from each group advance to the quarterfinals in March. Greece is playing Serbia at the same time and remains in contention for second place. It’s also important to keep an eye on the teams below. Serbia can still reach six points with two wins.

Prediction: Germany is under pressure in Berlin but has its own fans cheering it on. The Dutch are also looking for a win to secure their spot in the quarterfinals. This points to a close game in which neither team will want to make any mistakes. We’re betting on a narrow home win for the German national team.

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Matchdays 1 and 2 of the UEFA Nations League—which game are you betting on?

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