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21 Sept 2026 | Sportsbetting

UEFA Nations League Matchday Predictions for 2026/27 – Matchdays 1 and 2

The Kickoff of the 2026/27 Nations League: Matchday Preview with Picks for Nine Games During the International Break. Including Coverage of the Top Matches.

approx. 3 min.
UEFA Nations League Matchday Predictions for 2026/27 – Matchdays 1 and 2

The first international break of the 2026/27 UEFA Nations League, following the World Cup in the U.S., Canada, and Mexico, is just around the corner. For some, the wounds are still fresh: Germany was eliminated by Paraguay in a penalty shootout in the Round of 16, and Italy failed to qualify for the third consecutive time. As a result, five nations are entering the season with new head coaches: Jürgen Klopp in Germany, Zinédine Zidane in France, Xavi Hernández in the Netherlands, Mark van Bommel in Belgium, and Roberto Mancini in Italy. Only Spain is heading into the tournament with confidence, as Luis de la Fuente’s team is the reigning world champion. Matchday 1 kicks off on Thursday, followed by Matchday 2 from Sunday through Tuesday.

Merkur Quick Tips for the Start of the 2026/27 Nations League

Xavi Hernández is making his competitive debut as the new head coach after Koeman resigned following the penalty shootout loss to Morocco in the World Cup round of 16. Germany is heading into its first test match since the World Cup debacle against Paraguay with none other than Jürgen Klopp on the sidelines. Uncertainty is likely greater than confidence on both sides at the moment. A successful start would immediately instill new confidence in each team’s fresh start following a difficult summer.

Prediction: X

Turkey was eliminated in the group stage of the World Cup, but at home they play boldly on the attack in front of their traditionally boisterous crowd. With this match, France officially brings the Deschamps era to a close: Zinédine Zidane makes his debut as national team coach following the team’s disappointing fourth-place finish at the World Cup. Despite everything, the individual talent in the French squad will be the deciding factor. Zidane’s debut match will be watched particularly closely, as he is one of the most prominent new additions to the coaching staff this summer.

Prediction: 2

Two new coaches, one home game: Roberto Mancini makes his debut in his second stint as head coach after Italy failed to qualify for the World Cup for the third time in a row. Belgium arrives under the leadership of Mark van Bommel, who is also new to the job, and will still be without goalkeeper Onana, who is out with a cruciate ligament injury. The greater pressure and home-field advantage favor the Squadra Azzurra. With his return, Mancini is expected to build on past successes; after all, he had already led the Italians to the 2021 European Championship title during his first tenure.

Prediction: 1

England finished the World Cup with a sensational third-place finish and heads into the tournament with the confidence gained from its spectacular 6-4 victory over France in the third-place match. Spain arrives as the defending world champion after De la Fuente’s team defeated Argentina in extra time in the final. Their roster remains virtually unchanged heading into the new season. This unofficial rematch of the World Cup medal race is likely to be a high-caliber, closely contested contest.

Prediction: 2

Following his introduction as Nagelsmann’s successor, Jürgen Klopp is set to lead his second competitive match as Germany’s national team coach: Public attention is correspondingly high ahead of the home game in Augsburg. Greece failed to qualify for the World Cup and is traveling to the match with nothing to lose and no pressure. Against a Greek team in transition, the quality of the DFB squad should definitely be enough to secure a comfortable victory, despite the disappointment of the past few months.

Prediction: 1

Rangnick’s team capped off its first World Cup appearance since 1998 by advancing to the Round of 16, before a 0-3 loss to Spain showed them their limits. This historic summer has given the entire federation a boost, allowing Austria to enter the second match of the Nations League season as the clear favorite. Kosovo remains one of Europe’s smaller soccer nations and has only been gaining experience at this level for a few years. Playing at home and with a deeper roster, Austria should win this match decisively.

Prediction: 1

Serbia failed to qualify for the World Cup after losing to a dominant England team and is currently undergoing a period of transition. Following their penalty shootout loss to Morocco and Koeman’s resignation, the Netherlands are kicking off the season with Xavi Hernández at the helm and are already playing their second competitive match under the new head coach. Despite their own period of transition, the Oranje have more quality across the depth of their roster, both in terms of work rate and individual ability. Serbia will primarily look to set pieces and physicality in one-on-one battles to try to cause the favorites some trouble.

Prediction: 2

After 14 years, France has brought the Deschamps era to a close and, with Zinédine Zidane at the helm, is already heading into the second match of his tenure following his debut against Turkey. Under Rudi Garcia, Belgium fought its way to the World Cup quarterfinals, where its run ended against Spain, and now arrives under the equally new leadership of Mark van Bommel. Two teams in transition, each with a new coach on the bench. However, France’s individual talent on offense is likely to tip the scales by a narrow margin.

Prediction: 2

Following their match against England, the world champions are back in competitive action and are likely to play their usual possession-based style against this high-profile opponent as well. Croatia is regrouping under the returning Slaven Bilić. With Luka Modrić still active in the midfield, the team remains outstanding in terms of play, even though several established defenders have recently been missing from the roster. Against the reigning world champions, however, that alone is unlikely to be enough.

Prediction: 1

Merkur Nations League Matchday Predictions: The Highlights of the International Break

Following the team’s elimination in a penalty shootout against Morocco in the World Cup round of 16, Ronald Koeman has announced his resignation. Xavi Hernández, a coach with a very different style of play, is now taking over. His first competitive match will be against a prominent opponent with whom the Netherlands shares a long and intense rivalry. After just a few days of training, it’s hard to say how quickly Xavi’s possession-oriented style of play will take root with the Oranje.

A new era is also beginning for the DFB team. After being eliminated by Paraguay, Julian Nagelsmann was forced to step down. Jürgen Klopp has officially served as head coach of the national team since July 24, 2026, having been the association’s publicly stated top choice ever since Nagelsmann’s departure. The away match in Amsterdam will thus be his very first competitive game and, at the same time, the start of a campaign in which the DFB will also be looking to rebuild trust among its own fans. Just how much of Klopp’s emotional, intense style of soccer can be implemented in such a short preparation period will only become clear during the game.

Prediction: Two teams with new coaches on the bench. Both are likely to still lack well-rehearsed plays. A cautious draw is therefore the most likely outcome.

England finished the World Cup with a sensational third-place finish, following a semifinal loss to Argentina and a 6-4 victory over France in the third-place match. Tuchel has extended his contract through 2028 and heads into the season at home with a great deal of confidence. The federation has largely kept the successful tournament roster intact, so the well-rehearsed plays from this past summer should still be fresh in the players’ minds. For Tuchel, this is also his first opportunity to prove himself against the new industry leader, since the two teams did not face each other at the World Cup.

Spain arrives as the reigning world champion after De la Fuente’s team defeated Portugal, Belgium, France, and, in the final, Argentina in consecutive knockout-round matches. There are hardly any personnel absences or major changes following this success. Spain’s winning formula from this past summer—patient possession and high-pressure defense after losing the ball—is well known and has yet to be truly cracked by any opponent. That is precisely what makes this match so compelling: England, with its physical presence and quick transitions, has—at least in theory—the right tools to counter it.

Prediction: This unofficial rematch of the World Cup medal match promises to be a top-notch soccer game. Spain’s current form and superior play will give them a narrow edge, but it won’t be a one-sided affair.

Two major soccer nations with new coaches will face off during this international break. France brought the Deschamps era to a close after 14 years, despite finishing fourth at the World Cup—a result sealed by a wild 4-6 loss to England in the third-place match. Prior to that, their run ended in the semifinals against Spain, who went on to win the World Cup. Zinédine Zidane heads into his second match as national team coach on the heels of the season opener against Turkey. For him, the match is an early barometer of how quickly his tactical ideas can take root in the team.

Under Rudi Garcia, Belgium fought its way to the World Cup quarterfinals, where its run came to an end against Spain. Garcia was let go afterward, and Mark van Bommel—also a first-time coach—is now taking over on the bench. The “golden generation” centered around De Bruyne is noticeably getting older, with no equal successor ready to take over the midfield, which further complicates the transition. Van Bommel must therefore not only find a new midfield core but also prove it against a prominent opponent in the group stage.

Prediction: Two teams in transition, two coaches in their second competitive match. This promises to be an open game—and by no means a well-rehearsed one. France’s individual talent on offense is likely to tip the scales in the end, but it won’t be a one-sided affair in Brussels.

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Matchdays 1 and 2 of the UEFA Nations League—which game are you betting on?