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8 Sept 2026 | Sportsbetting

Champions League Matchday Predictions for 2026/27: Matchday 1

Matchday 1 of the 2026/27 Season: Champions League Matchday Predictions. All 18 matches of the group stage, including current form, background info, and quick picks at MERKUR.

approx. 3 min.
Champions League Matchday Predictions for 2026/27: Matchday 1

The top flight is back, and the Champions League matchday preview is off to a bang right from the start. Real Madrid hosts Inter Milan at the Bernabéu, where José Mourinho faces the club with which he won the treble in 2010 for the first time in 13 years. Arsenal, as the English champions, travels to the Diego Armando Maradona Stadium to face Napoli, while Liverpool welcomes Atlético Madrid to Anfield Road. The debutants are especially in the spotlight: Como 1907, led by Cesc Fàbregas, hosts RB Leipzig, while Azerbaijani champion Sabah takes the field at Old Trafford. Fans can look forward to matchups between longtime Champions League regulars and complete newcomers.

But that’s not the only place where a spectacle is expected: Bayern Munich, FC Barcelona, Manchester City, and defending champion Paris Saint-Germain are also in the mix. A total of 18 games will be spread across three evenings from September 8 to 10, promising thrilling matchups, new faces on the coaching staff, and plenty of anticipation for the final at the Estadio Metropolitano in Madrid.

Merkur Quick Tips for Matchday 1 of the Champions League

The Greek champions will open the season in front of their home crowd, while the team from Linz will be playing their very first match in the Champions League. After a 5-1 victory over Celtic Glasgow in the second leg of the Champions League qualifiers, LASK is traveling to the match with confidence. Individually, however, AEK has the edge with star striker Luka Jović. Marko Nikolić won the league title in his debut season and also led AEK to the Conference League quarterfinals. Dietmar Kühbauer, on the other hand, won the domestic double with LASK and is likely to rely on a deep defensive setup.

Prediction: 1

The Belgian champions host the Europa League champions, who have struggled in the league so far. Unai Emery relies on structure and quick transitions, while Bruges thrives on the raucous atmosphere of the Jan Breydel Stadium and the experience of Hans Vanaken. Aston Villa won its first European trophy since 1982 last May and has a true playmaker in the midfield in Boubacar Kamara. Leon Goretzka also bolsters the midfield. On the other side, Ivan Leko knows the club inside and out: this is already his second stint in Belgium. An open, back-and-forth battle is in the air.

Prediction: 1 + both teams to score

BVB is looking to put its disappointing 17th-place finish in the previous league season behind it and kicks off at home. Villarreal failed to win a single game in eight attempts and is making a fresh start under Iñigo Pérez. Serhou Guirassy should find space; after all, the Guinean was the joint top scorer in the Champions League in 2024–25 with 13 goals. On the other side is Georges Mikautadze, Villarreal’s top scorer from last season, who boasts an even better scoring rate for the Georgian national team. Niko Kovač needs a perfect start in front of the Yellow Wall to take the pressure off early on.

Prediction: 1 + over 2.5 goals

Francesco Farioli has turned Porto into a defensive powerhouse: Diogo Costa set a league record for consecutive clean sheets. City is playing without Pep Guardiola for the first time in ten years. But with Erling Haaland, the English side has a guaranteed goal-scorer on their side: In each of his four seasons with City, he has scored more than 30 goals in competitive matches—and, as is well known, he needs very few chances to do so. Porto started last season with 18 wins and one draw in 19 league games, clinching the championship title early on. This is likely to be a game of few chances, in which a set piece could prove decisive.

Prediction: 2 + under 3.5 goals

Davide Ancelotti is coaching Lille in his first season as head coach, and Betis is returning to the Champions League after two decades. Both teams play a bold defensive style, which leaves them vulnerable to counterattacks. Manuel Pellegrini is already entering his seventh year with the Andalusian club and most recently led them to the Conference League final and the Europa League quarterfinals. At Lille, captain Benjamin André pulls the strings in midfield, while goalkeeper Berke Özer posted the most shutouts in Ligue 1 last season. Antony and Abde Ezzalzouli promise speed on the wings.

Prediction: X + over 2.5 Goals

The top match of the evening: Mourinho faces Inter in the season opener, of all teams. Sitting on the opposing bench is his former player, Cristian Chivu. Kylian Mbappé scored 15 goals in the Champions League last season, and Inter enters the tournament as the Italian champion. For the Madrid side, this is also a chance for redemption, as the 2025–26 season ended without a title. Chivu, on the other hand, promptly secured the Serie A and Coppa Italia double in his first year on the Inter bench. With Lautaro Martínez and Mbappé leading the charge, two number-nines who rarely miss a chance will face off.

Prediction: 1 + both teams to score

Barça won all 19 of its home league games last season. Feyenoord is off to a fresh start under the returning Giovanni van Bronckhorst. Lamine Yamal is likely to make the difference on the right wing; the 19-year-old has recently tallied six goals and four assists in the Champions League. Hansi Flick continues to have his team defend extremely high up the field, which should at least open up a few counterattacking opportunities for the Rotterdam side. For Feyenoord, midfield dynamo Luciano Valente is the man for the decisive passes.

Prediction: 1 + over 3.5 goals

Deniz Undav heads into the match with VFB full of confidence after scoring 19 goals this season. Viking celebrated its first Norwegian title in 34 years in 2025 and is coached by a duo of managers. For the visitors, the experience itself is what matters most here, as more than 100 places separate the two teams in the UEFA club rankings. Sebastian Hoeneß is likely to be on high alert nonetheless—after all, Norwegian clubs have recently been upsetting favorites left and right. Captain Zlatko Tripić is responsible for goals and assists at Viking.

Prediction: 1 + Handicap -1

Andoni Iraola is making his debut as a Champions League coach, and he’s facing the competition’s most experienced coach right off the bat: Diego Simeone is entering his 16th season with Atlético. Liverpool is still searching for the confidence it had in Klopp’s early years. This summer, the Reds signed Bradley Barcola, a winger from Paris, to fill that void. Atlético didn’t bow out until the semifinals last season and brings the patience needed for long matches. The game will likely be decided by a solo play.

Prediction: X + under 2.5 goals

The defending champion kicks off against the Slovakian serial champion. Yaya Touré has been coaching the club since July in his first head coaching role. Khvicha Kvaratskhelia was voted the best player of the last Champions League season. Luis Enrique is likely to establish an early lead despite rotating his lineup, especially since new signing Maghnes Akliouche fits perfectly into the team’s attacking style of play. Slovan clinched its eighth consecutive league title in Bratislava, but its Conference League run ended after the group stage. Captain Andraž Šporar, at least, brings Champions League experience from his time with Basel.

Prediction: 1 + over 3.5 goals

A head-to-head comparison of two goal scorers: Luis Suárez scored 38 times for Sporting in his debut season, while Victor Osimhen has tallied 59 goals in two years on the Bosporus. Both teams play an attacking style of defense and are prone to conceding on the counterattack. Sporting reached the quarterfinals last season, where they were eliminated by Arsenal, the eventual finalist; Galatasaray was knocked out in the round of 16 by Liverpool. Okan Buruk has led the Istanbul team to four consecutive league titles and can also count on Mauro Icardi up front. It’s going to be loud and fast at Alvalade.

Prediction: X + over 2.5 Goals

Massimiliano Allegri has taken over from Antonio Conte in Naples and brings his famously pragmatic approach with him. Arsenal arrives as the English champion and last year’s finalist. Mikel Arteta’s defense is traditionally compact. For the Gunners, it was their first title since 2003–04—a wait that lasted a full 22 years. Napoli, on the other hand, missed out on both the Scudetto and advancing past the group stage in their anniversary season and now need to regroup. Scott McTominay and Bukayo Saka are likely to be the difference-makers.

Prediction: 2

In Kadıköy, Roma will face one of the loudest home crowds in Europe. Fenerbahçe is counting on Talisca, who has scored 19 times in the league. Gian Piero Gasperini’s Roma are back in the competition for the first time since 2018–19 after finishing third. On the Turkish side, İsmail Kartal—who has taken over the club for the fourth time—sits on the bench. Gasperini brings his signature man-marking approach, which has both advantages and disadvantages in such an environment. Manu Koné is the driving force in the Giallorossi’s midfield.

Prediction: 2 + both teams to score

Peter Bosz has his championship-winning team play with high pressure and plenty of possession, while Ricardo Pepi acts as the team’s extension in the penalty area. Shakhtar arrives under Arda Turan with a very young roster. The Turkish coach led the Ukrainians to the league title and the Conference League semifinals in his first year. PSV won its third consecutive Eredivisie title but was recently eliminated from the Champions League in the group stage. Home-field advantage in Eindhoven should tip the scales.

Prediction: 1 + over 2.5 goals

Como’s first European Cup match in club history: Cesc Fàbregas has led the 2024 promotion team all the way to the Champions League. Leipzig is starting the season under new coach Martín Demichelis and must make up for the departure of Yan Diomande. Nico Paz sets the pace for the hosts; the Argentine tallied twelve goals and seven assists last season. At RB, Christoph Baumgartner is expected to lead the offense following his best season yet, joined by dribbler Antonio Nusa on the wing. Two bold teams that want to control the ball.

Prediction: 2

The record champions set a new record last season with 122 Bundesliga goals and were eliminated by Paris in the semifinals. Bodø/Glimt recently defeated Manchester City, Atlético, and Inter, but lost their top scorer, Kasper Høgh. Vincent Kompany brought in two 50-million signings this summer—Nathaniel Brown and Ismael Saibari—and is also deliberately relying on young talents like Lennart Karl. At the Allianz Arena, the odds are heavily in favor of Harry Kane and company.

Prediction: 1 + over 3.5 Goals

United returns under Michael Carrick after the European break; Bruno Fernandes set a Premier League record with 21 assists. Sabah is the Champions League club with the shortest history and has a squad value of around 17 million euros. The club from Masazir was founded as recently as 2017 and celebrated its first Azerbaijaani league title last season. Still, Veljko Simić was the top scorer in the entire qualifying round with six goals. Anything other than a clear home victory, however, would be a huge surprise.

Prediction: 1 + Handicap -2

Slavia failed to win a single game in eight matches during the last league phase, but comfortably defended their national title. Lens won the French Cup for the first time and has been coached by Dino Toppmöller since January. The visitors have an experienced forward in their ranks in Florian Thauvin; the 2018 World Cup champion scored a goal and provided an assist in the Cup final. Jindřich Trpišovský has been the head coach in Prague since 2017 and has led the club to five league titles during that time. For Lens, this is only their third appearance in the group stage or league phase.

Prediction: X

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