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Franzi | Games
Franzi | Games 
18 Nov 2025 | Sportsbetting
Bundesliga Matchday Forecast – Matchday 11, 2025/26
All predictions for Bundesliga Matchday 11 of the 2025/26 season. From Bayern vs. Freiburg to Dortmund vs. Stuttgart. Current form, stats and betting tips at a glance.
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Bundesliga Matchday Forecast – Matchday 11, 2025/26
The Bundesliga is finally back from the international break, and Matchday 11 promises plenty of excitement! Bayern Munich host SC Freiburg and want to send a clear message after their 2–2 draw against Union Berlin. RB Leipzig need to keep pace with the top in their home match against Bremen, while Dortmund face an important showdown with an in-form VfB Stuttgart. At the bottom of the table, the pressure continues to mount: Heidenheim, reeling from a heavy defeat in Leverkusen, take on a resurgent Gladbach. Augsburg seek stability against HSV, while Mainz battle self-confident Hoffenheim for crucial points in the relegation fight. Fans can expect fast-paced matches filled with intensity and emotion.
MERKUR Quick Tips for Bundesliga Matchday 11
Mainz vs. Hoffenheim
In Mainz, the alarm bells are ringing: Sitting 17th, the hosts are deep in the relegation mire. Their home match against Hoffenheim is nothing less than a must-win turning point. TSG, meanwhile, arrive with massive confidence — four Bundesliga victories in a row and an impressive away record. A duel between desperate point-hunters and a relaxed, Europe-chasing contender.
Prediction: Away win (2)
Bayern vs. Freiburg
Bayern’s draw against Union ended their winning streak, but it felt more like a minor hiccup than a warning sign. The champions are playing a nearly flawless season and dominating the league. Freiburg travel with a win in hand but struggled for long periods against defensive St. Pauli. The roles are clearly defined. If Bayern find their tempo, Freiburg will likely run out of answers.
Prediction: Home win (1) + over 3.5 goals
Dortmund vs. Stuttgart
Dortmund missed their chance to move into second place with a 1–1 draw in Hamburg. The Kovac side controlled much of the game but lacked bite in the final third and were punished in stoppage time. Stuttgart, meanwhile, are in outstanding form. Their 3–2 victory over Augsburg was their fifth home win in five games, with Undav once again the difference-maker. A tight and balanced encounter awaits.
Prediction: Draw
Wolfsburg vs. Leverkusen
Wolfsburg’s situation is worsening. The 1–2 loss in Bremen was their third straight defeat, and once again they let a controlled match slip in the final minutes. After taking the lead, they offered little relief and were punished late. Leverkusen, on the other hand, produced a dazzling 6–0 display against Heidenheim, deciding the game within the first half hour. Anything other than an away win would be a surprise.
Prediction: Away win (2) + over 3.5 goals
Augsburg vs. HSV
Augsburg, now 15th after their 2–3 defeat in Stuttgart, are sinking deeper into the relegation battle. Two leads weren’t enough due to defensive mistakes, resulting in their fourth consecutive loss. HSV secured a valuable late draw against Dortmund, crowned by Königsdörffer’s last-minute header. Expect a tight match with a slight edge to HSV.
Prediction: Away win (2)
Heidenheim vs. Gladbach
Heidenheim are badly shaken after their 0–6 loss in Leverkusen. They were inferior in every area, failed to create chances, and sit bottom with just five points and a –15 goal difference. A reaction is absolutely necessary. Gladbach, meanwhile, are stabilizing. Their 3–1 derby win over Köln was their third victory in a row. The situation is clear: Heidenheim are wobbling, Gladbach are rising.
Prediction: Away win (2) + under 3.5 goals
Köln vs. Frankfurt
Köln lost their derby in Gladbach 1–3, once again showing the same pattern: plenty of possession but too little threat. Two conceded penalties and lacking decisiveness in the final third cost them any chance of points. Frankfurt earned a solid 1–0 against Mainz. Doan’s solo decided a tough match, and defensively they looked composed. Frankfurt appear more stable and controlled — clear favorites.
Prediction: Away win (2)
Leipzig vs. Bremen
Leipzig suffered their second defeat of the season with a 1–3 in Hoffenheim, missing the chance to close the gap to Bayern. After a strong start, RB lost control and lacked ideas in the final third. Bremen travel with momentum after their late 2–1 win over Wolfsburg. Stage and Mbangula turned the match around, securing their third home win in a row. Still, Leipzig remain strong favorites.
Prediction: Home win (1) + over 3.5 goals
St. Pauli vs. Union Berlin
St. Pauli are sliding deeper into danger after their 1–2 loss in Freiburg — their seventh defeat in a row. A goalkeeper error started the collapse. Union, meanwhile, earned a strong 2–2 against Bayern and showed one of their best performances of the season. With aggressive pressing and dangerous set pieces, they caused constant trouble. Given Pauli’s struggles, the edge clearly goes to the visitors.
Prediction: Away win (2)
MERKUR Bundesliga Matchday Forecast: Highlights of Matchday 11
This matchup brings together two teams far apart in the standings but entering the match with contrasting storylines. Bayern have been dominant, efficient, and highly consistent all season. Their 2–2 at Union was a small setback — Kane rescued a late draw, but over the 90 minutes the team looked slightly sluggish, perhaps showing the toll of their intense Champions League match in Paris.
Freiburg, meanwhile, arrive after a hard-fought 2–1 over St. Pauli. They struggled against a deep-sitting opponent and benefited from individual errors. Offensively, they remain inconsistent, lacking sharpness in possession, but display mental strength and compactness — all qualities they will need in Munich.
Forecast: Freiburg will fight and try to keep the game tight, but Bayern’s individual quality, home strength, and desire to bounce back from dropped points make a clear Bayern win the most likely outcome.
Dortmund continue to get in their own way. Their 1–1 in Hamburg showcased the problem: control without consequence. Chukwuemeka’s stunning volley seemed to seal the win, but late passivity allowed HSV to equalize. These lapses prevent BVB from reaching the very top.
Stuttgart, by contrast, are full of momentum. Their 3–2 over Augsburg extended their perfect home run, again driven by Undav’s brilliance. Defensively shaky at times, but offensively bold, fast, and unpredictable — hallmarks of Hoeneß’s system.
Forecast: A genuine clash at eye level. Dortmund hold home advantage, Stuttgart arrive in better form. Everything points to a close match — likely ending in a draw.
Leipzig suffered a stinging 1–3 setback at Hoffenheim. After a strong opening, they lost structure and clarity, missing the chance to reduce the gap to Bayern. Bremen arrive after a dramatic 2–1 comeback against Wolfsburg, powered by determination and late-game intensity. History strongly favors Leipzig: 11 wins in 17 encounters, only two Bremen victories. With superior quality and record, RB are heavy favorites.
Forecast: Leipzig with all the advantages, Bremen with outsider potential — the likely outcome is a home win for RB.
