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Franzi | Games
Franzi | Games 
3 Mar 2026 | Sportsbetting
Bundesliga matchday prediction 2025/26 – Matchday 25
All predictions for the 25th matchday of the 2025/26 Bundesliga season. From Bayern vs. Gladbach to 1. FC Köln vs. Dortmund. An overview of current form and tips.
approx. 3 min.
Bundesliga matchday prediction 2025/26 – Matchday 25
The 25th matchday is marked by special circumstances. After the thrilling defeat in the direct duel with Bayern, the big question is: How will Borussia Dortmund react to what is likely to be a decisive defeat in the title race? Now it's time to show character and at least underpin their own ambitions behind Bayern with a clear response. While the course has been set at the top of the table, things continue to heat up at the bottom. Teams such as St. Pauli and Werder Bremen have recently secured important victories and breathed new life into the relegation battle. The lower half of the table is closing in on each other, with every matchday shifting the balance of power. It is the phase of the season that decides who stays at the top and who falls behind at the bottom.
Merkur quick tips for the 25th matchday of the Bundesliga
Bayern vs. Gladbach
FC Bayern is riding high after its spectacular 3-2 victory in the classic match against Dortmund, forcing a minor preliminary decision in the title race. Kane scores reliably, Kimmich directs—the offense is running smoothly. Gladbach, on the other hand, ended its losing streak with a late penalty against Union and has gained new confidence. The roles are clearly defined in Munich, but the Foals are traveling with momentum and know that as underdogs, they can only surprise.
Tip: 1 + over 3.5 goals
Freiburg vs. Leverkusen
Freiburg suffered a setback in Frankfurt recently and slipped behind Eintracht in the table. Above all, they lacked determination in attack in the second half. Leverkusen could only manage a 1-1 draw against Mainz and found it extremely difficult to break down their compact defense. In Freiburg, the Werkself will need to play with more clarity, otherwise they risk dropping more points.
Tip: 2
Mainz vs. Stuttgart
Mainz brought Leverkusen to the brink of defeat with disciplined defensive work and once again showed how difficult the Rheinhessen are to play against at the moment. VfB Stuttgart's clear 4-0 win against Wolfsburg was a statement in the battle for Champions League places. The VfB were particularly impressive in attack. However, a completely different type of game awaits in Mainz – patience will be required.
Tip: Draw
Leipzig vs. Augsburg
RB Leipzig kept pace with the Champions League spots with a 2-1 win in Hamburg. Werner's team was in a playful mood, especially in attack, even though Romulo missed the decisive penalty. RB now wants to build on this at home. However, Augsburg is traveling with a lot of confidence: three wins in a row, plus an emotional 500th Bundesliga game with a deserved victory against Cologne. FCA is in good form, compact, and extremely dangerous on the counterattack – so Leipzig has been warned.
Tip: 1 + over 3.5 goals
Wolfsburg vs. HSV
Wolfsburg remains deep in crisis. The 0-4 defeat in Stuttgart was a bitter setback, with the Wolves now winless in seven games and slipping to 17th place. In front of their home crowd, only three points will do; anything else would further exacerbate the situation. HSV has shown promise in recent weeks and has played courageously at times, but has often failed to reap the rewards. Three points would be extremely important for both teams.
Tip: Draw
Heidenheim vs. Hoffenheim
Heidenheim remains stuck at the bottom of the table after a 0-2 defeat in Bremen. Despite some decent phases, the squad lacks quality. From now on, almost only victories will count. TSG also suffered a minor setback with a 1-0 defeat to St. Pauli. Despite clear superiority and numerous chances, they lacked efficiency in front of goal. In Heidenheim, Hoffenheim wants to convert its dominance into points again this time.
Tip: 2 + over 3.5 goals
Köln vs. BVB
Cologne also remains embroiled in the relegation battle. The 0-2 defeat in Augsburg was already the fourth game without a win. At home, Effzeh desperately needs points, no matter who they play against. Opponents Dortmund suffered a bitter 3-2 defeat in the classic match against Bayern, despite some strong phases. The championship train seems to have left the station, so the focus is now on securing Champions League places. Three points are a must in Cologne – but BVB knows how unpleasant teams in the relegation battle can be.
Tip: Draw
St. Pauli vs. Frankfurt
St. Pauli has made a real statement in the relegation battle. The surprising 1-0 win in Hoffenheim was not only a strong fighting performance, but also tactically disciplined. Goalkeeper Vasilj was the match winner on several occasions, while Pereira Lage made the difference up front with his debut goal. Frankfurt's 2-0 win against Freiburg under new coach Albert Riera was their next home victory without conceding a goal. Eintracht looked patient and once again proved their knack for making good substitutions with Chaibi's goal.
Tip: 2 + under 3.5 goals
Union Berlin vs. Werder Bremen
Union Berlin suffered a late setback recently. The 0-1 defeat in Gladbach due to a penalty in injury time was bitter, especially because the Ironers had been disciplined defensively for a long time and had hardly allowed anything. Offensively, however, they remained fragmented. Werder Bremen, on the other hand, finally turned the corner in their basement battle against Heidenheim. After 13 games without a win, the 2-0 victory brought relief. The success could unleash new energy in the team.
Tip: Draw
Merkur Bundesliga matchday predictions: The highlights of matchday 25
FC Bayern is going into this match with confidence. The dramatic 3-2 win in the classic match in Dortmund was more than just a prestigious victory—it was a statement. Despite falling behind at one point, the record champions turned the game around with clinical finishing, led by Harry Kane, who was once again on target, and an outstanding Joshua Kimmich, who sealed the deal with his volley. An eleven-point lead at the top of the table speaks for itself: Munich are marching unwaveringly towards the championship. However, not every recent performance has been as commanding as the table suggests. They faltered late against Frankfurt and needed to improve their performance in the second half in Dortmund. Defensively in particular, there were repeated moments of disorganization. Against Gladbach, it will therefore be important to establish clarity from the start with ball control, tempo, and dominance.
Borussia Mönchengladbach travels to Munich with renewed confidence. Their late 1-0 win against Union Berlin ended a run of seven games without a victory – albeit a fortunate one thanks to a penalty in stoppage time. The Foals were solid defensively, but their attack remained fragmented. That is precisely the challenge in Munich: will their defensive compactness be enough against Bayern's individual class?
Prediction: For Gladbach, this is a bonus game in which they can play freely. For Bayern, on the other hand, it's a must-win game in the title race. Anything other than a home win would be a surprise
For 1. FC Köln, the air at the bottom of the table is getting thinner and thinner. The defeat in Augsburg was yet another game without any real breakthroughs, with the offense lacking punch and creativity for long stretches. Too often, they resort to long balls and individual actions, with clear scoring chances few and far between. But especially at home, Effzeh knows that it can overcome this with emotion and tough tackling. Against a favorite like Dortmund, it will need precisely these virtues and probably a day on top form.
BVB travels with mixed feelings. The bitter 2-3 defeat in the classic match against Bayern has probably put an end to any realistic championship dreams. Eleven points behind first place is a deficit that is almost impossible to overcome. This makes it all the more important to secure a place in the Champions League. And to do that, games like the one in Cologne are a must-win – at least on paper.
Prediction: It's a duel with contrasting fortunes: on the one hand, a traditional club fighting for survival; on the other, an ambitious challenger looking to cement at least second place. For Cologne, it's a matter of survival; for Dortmund, it's about responding and maintaining their own ambitions.
Two teams are facing each other at Millerntor for whom there is a lot at stake at this stage of the season, albeit with different objectives.
St. Pauli sent out a clear signal in the relegation battle with a 1-0 away win in Hoffenheim, their second victory in a row. Disciplined, compact and with an outstanding Vasilj in goal, the Kiezkickers defended passionately, while up front Pereira Lage provided the decisive punch with his debut goal. Blessin's team looks more solid, believes in itself again and knows that at home, the Millerntor can be a factor. The next big point should follow against Frankfurt.
However, Eintracht are also in good form. The 2-0 win against Freiburg under Albert Riera was the next step towards stability. The Hessians were patient, controlled the game, and were focused defensively, and the coach once again proved his knack for picking the right substitutes with Chaibi's winning goal. Frankfurt have their sights set firmly on the top of the table – sixth place and a place in international competition are within reach again.
Prediction: Both teams are going into the game with momentum. St. Pauli wants to use its upward trend to gain some breathing room in the relegation battle, while Frankfurt wants to stay in the race for international spots.
